January 1, 2005
CiF Draft
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For the second time in 15 months, Venezuelans head to the polls on Sunday to vote on ending presidential term limits, potentially allowing H...
November 23, 2004
If only Enrique Mendoza was more like Viktor Yuschenko
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Creatively stolen from The Independent Venezuelans throng streets to protest against election 'fix' By Askold Krushelnycky in ...
November 8, 2004
Our August, Their November
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Couldn't resist coming back to post just this one bit, which strikes me as bizarrely reminiscent. Feel the burn, baby, feel the burn......
October 4, 2004
Five Hundred Posts of Solitude
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It's a historic day. Of sorts. Blogger informs me that this is post number 500 on Caracas Chronicles - a tidy number, in just 25 month...
September 29, 2004
The Paper Trail as Entelechy
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Last night, I listened to the BBC World Service's report on Jimmy Carter's concerns on voting in Florida. Lyse Doucet, the legendary...
September 27, 2004
Carter nos saca la lengua
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I suppose Jimmy Carter didn't stop to consider how his opinion piece in today's Washinton Post might strike an opposition-minded Ve...
September 24, 2004
The law, damn it, the law!
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This photo shows a crime being committed. It may seem minor, but it's an issue of serious symbolic imporance in Venezuela. Retire...
September 23, 2004
Snippet of Hausmann and Rigobon's Answer to the Carter Center
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This appears to be Hausmann and Rigobon's reply to Dan's Really Obvious Objection. Personally, I find it hard to follow. How doe...
September 22, 2004
Unified Field Theory of Non-Fraud
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or...Who exactly is Jorge RodrÃguez? I. Suspending disbelief I want to address, first, my many readers who are sure there was fraud in...
September 21, 2004
Carter Center, CEPR, and Dan's Really Obvious Objection
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The striking thing about the Carter Center's "reply" to Hausmann and Rigobon's original and much ballyhooed claims is that...
September 17, 2004
¿Y entonces?
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Carter Center Report on an Analysis of the Representativeness of the Second Audit Sample, and the Correlation between Petition Signers and t...
September 14, 2004
Things that make you go "hmmmm"...
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From today's Por Mi Madre, the daily political gossip page in TalCual, Final poll The final tracking poll for Consultores 21, car...
Magna Carta and the Subtle Art of Chavista Budgeting
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In Spanish the phrase "Carta Magna" is just a synonym for "constitution," so most Venezuelans probably don't know th...
September 13, 2004
Reminiscences of things present
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Reposted from El Informador de Barquisimeto A Militarist Vision by Pompeyo Marquez, Sept. 3, 2004 Translated by FT I have argued ...
September 10, 2004
The Elasticity of the Vote for Dummies
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Hausmann and Rigobon's argument about the non-randomness of the CNE cold-audit sample is based on something they've called the ...
The Zenith of the Egghead Brigade
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Thanks to Miguel Octavio for linking to this astonishing New York Times article on Benford's law. Dr. Theodore P. Hill asks his ma...
September 8, 2004
Pre-emptive Strike: Anticipating the Counterarguments to Hausmann and Rigobon
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I've been reading and re-reading Hausmann and Rigobon's piece to try to find holes in it. I'm finding it hard. The most obvi...
September 7, 2004
Hausmann and Rigobon: The incomprehensible, the evident and the damning
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Hausmann and Rigobon's paper on the evidence of fraud in the Recall Referendum makes three basic arguments. Instant reaction. 1.T...
Puro cuarto bate
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Ricardo Hausmann and Roberto Rigobon must be the two most respected and accomplished Venezuelan academics out there. You don't get te...
September 6, 2004
Alemo, serious planning, and where the hell do you get $60 billion?
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One of the most interesting articles I got to write when I lived in Venezuela grew from a meeting I had with five privileged white men who h...
September 3, 2004
Taking stock of the CD's collapse in international standing
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I'm not about to tell the CD to give up its fraud claims until they're satisfied they know what happened on August 15th. But as they...
September 2, 2004
The epistemology of fraud
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Say you witness an electoral event...your side loses, you're mad, you think there was fraud. What does it take to demonstrate that there...
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