Katy says: Inside sources confirm that the latest private DATOS poll puts Chavez's margin at 11 percentage points, down from 22 or so. S...

Quico says: For reasons I can't understand, the formatting goes all out of whack when I post a web poll. Please scroll down to register...

JayDee says: I've seen Chavez speak in person twice in the last few weeks. Both times, he had his audiences eating out of his hand, wea...

Quico says: Check out the the audio of parts of Leopoldo Lopez's press conference in Caracas yesterday. It's heartening to see th...

Quico says: Check out the opposition's fascist destabilization plan's instruction manual...damn coup-mongers.

Quico says: Clearly, a large part of the opposition is still seriously concerned that the government will commit numerical fraud. Unlike in ...

Quico says: Well, here's the seriously disturbing audio of part of that Rosales town hall meeting. Rosales is, um, not a natural spea...

Quico says: To understand the next few days, you need to understand one key fact: it's in the government's interest to bait the op...

Quico says: Well, as usual, my hit-count is going berserk as Sunday's election draws near. Hello new people! Caracas Chronicles has be...

Quico says: Well, here's the final survey slide, with the latest Evans McDonough poll added: Click to enlarge As you can see, I've ...

Katy says: Last night, Globovisión held a town-hall meeting with opposition candidate Manuel Rosales. It was an interesting broadcast since...

Quico says: Check out this impressive overview of the Poll Wars by Phil Gunson in the Miami Herald. Polls offer vastly different predictio...

Quico says: Actually, there are eight logical possibilities: Care to hazard a guess how this will go? Which scenario do you think is most l...

Quico says: The way I see it, the history of the next few years depends on what happens on Dec. 4th. Basically, there are 4 ways this could...

Katy says: I'm going to follow up on Quico's post and work through the second of the four scenarios: the possibility that opposition...

Quico says: Yesterday I posted on the underlying issue at stake in this election: a tricolor Venezuela, or a monochrome red one? Two differ...

Quico says: If you ask me, the best part of Rosales' campaign was the way he set up the contrast between his "Tricolor Avalanche...

Katy says: After a brief trip due to work and family obligations, I am back at my desk full-throttle for this exciting election week. This i...

Quico says: Well, I added two more polls to the Recent Surveys chart; one by Ipsos/AP and a second by Zogby/U. Miami. Again, I leave out su...

JayDee says: The big day draws ever closer, though you would never know it walking around Caracas. Sure, there are rallies and marches ever...

Quico says: OK, enough with the phone-based tracking polls. What are real field surveys saying? Below is a selection of recently published ...

Quico says: Sigh. Nothing takes the sheen off of a juicy leak quite like seeing the leakee interviewed at length the next day on ND. In t...

...for they bring us the juicy polling reports that don't show up in the newspapers. Quico says: Well, a pajarito put a copy of Hinter...

Quico says: Well, just days to go before the vote, and you can almost feel the tension rising here. From coolly bored, Dutch voters have r...

Quico says: Well of course Chavez will work provoke the more excitable elements in the opposition into overplaying their hand. "I am...

Quico says: What I think we're witnessing is the final collapse of common sense on all sides in Venezuela. But especially on our side. ...

...don't post anything at all...

Quico says: I was trying to update my Hinterlaces/ND three-day moving average chart when I noticed an odd anomaly: on Sunday, ND showed Ros...

Quico says: I'm annoyed that Noticiero Digital is publishing day-by-day results for the Hinterlaces phone tracking poll. The better wa...

Quico says: Well, thanks to the Hinterlaces/ Noticiero Digital tracking poll, we finally have a consistent methodology time-series on how ...

Quico says: Four years ago, I was working for VenEconomy out of their Sabana Grande offices. Lucky me, I was living in La Campiña, so I ha...