December 11, 2006
Leaving the light on
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Katy says: Christmas is upon us once again. Most people in Venezuela have left politics behind for a few weeks and have thrown themselves i...
December 10, 2006
Santiago Chronicles
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Katy says: Santiago on a Sunday is an unusually subdued place, boring even. One of my first shocks upon moving here was hopping over to the ...
December 8, 2006
Why did more people vote for Chavez than for Rosales?
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Quico says: Just to pick up on Alek's lucid postmortem, I'll add some thoughts of my own. I think the best way to go about dissect...
December 6, 2006
Podcast: "This is a political triumph amidst an electoral setback"
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Quico says: Well, Manuel Rosales kicked a huge amount of ass at his press conference yesterday (download part of the audio here.) The guy ...
Uruguayan Spoof
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Quico says: This one's too good not to post. Sorry to say it's not really translatable.
December 5, 2006
Alek's reaction...
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Quico says: Don't miss Alek Boyd's brief day-after statement.
Ojo Electoral's Preliminary Observations
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Quico says: Ojo Electoral, a Venezuelan elections monitoring NGO, posted observers at 337 randomly chosen voting tables (mesas de votación)...
December 4, 2006
Tibisay Lucena's Election
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Quico says: One refreshing thing about last night's election is that, for the first time in years, the National Electoral Council itsel...
Let the analyzing begin...
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Katy says: First off, the CNE website is already publishing detailed results by voting center. This is a welcome change, and we are finally ...
Bitter Medicine
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Quico says: Last night, the Recall Referendum season was finally closed. Rosales' concession marked the end of the long, barren, surrea...
December 3, 2006
Rosales concedes, I think
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Katy says: Manuel Rosales has just given the weirdest speech. It started out being very non-comittal one way or another, then he said he is...
The Rosales camp does message control
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Katy says: In light of today's events, where people linked to the campaign were echo to rumours giving victory to Rosales and declaring...
First Official Report: Chavez 61%, Rosales 38%
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Quico says: With 78.3% of actas tallied... Chavez: 61.4% (5,936,000 votes) Rosales: 38.4% (3,716,000 votes) A fucking debacle...
Real vote update: Chavez 61% - Rosales 39%
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Quico says: That's with well over half the actas tallied. Expect a first CNE bulletin soon.
Real votes: Chavez ahead by 20 to 24 points
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Quico says: Sources with access to CNE's tallying room say Chávez is ahead by at least 20 points, perhaps 24 points. This is not an exi...
Evans/McDonough Exit Poll: Chavez 58% - Rosales 40%
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Quico says: Or that's what Reuter's has, anyway.
teleSUR says Chavez 67%, Rosales 33% - Rosales campaign denies it
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Quico says: After months of government threats to shut down TV stations that publish elections results before http://www.blogger.com/img/gl...
Teodoro says...
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Quico says: Teodoro Petkoff, speaking for Rosales, says the day's voting went well, but there have been some problems after the end of ...
Glorified chisme: Chavez wins
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Quico says: Is it still gossip if Reuters is carrying it ? Consultores 30.11 coordinated an exit poll with Evans/McDonough Co., a U.S. pol...
Yowza: Serious Allegations from the Rosales Camp
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Quico says: Rosales campaign representatives are on TV right now saying that Plan Republica (military) officers have forced poll workers to...
The nerviest hour...
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Quico says: Yes, it's hair-pulling time. CNE's ban on publishing exit poll results has stuck better than anyone could've expect...
CNE Says...
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Quico says: The "blank votes" problem is coming about because people are using the voting machines wrong. You have to press the o...
Rosales says...
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Quico says: Manuel Rosales has just told the press that they've noted cases where people who vote for him get blank paper receipts. He ...
Today
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Quico says: Well, the big day is here. The tense wait, the hours and hours of increasingly nervy wondering...it's an election day tradi...
December 2, 2006
An update from pollsters
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Katy says: Inside sources confirm that the latest private DATOS poll puts Chavez's margin at 11 percentage points, down from 22 or so. S...
The dreaded predictions thread
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Quico says: For reasons I can't understand, the formatting goes all out of whack when I post a web poll. Please scroll down to register...
Chavismo as Eschatology
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JayDee says: I've seen Chavez speak in person twice in the last few weeks. Both times, he had his audiences eating out of his hand, wea...
December 1, 2006
Podcast: Leopoldo Lopez with eyes wide open...
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Quico says: Check out the the audio of parts of Leopoldo Lopez's press conference in Caracas yesterday. It's heartening to see th...
Opposition Election Monitoring Plan
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Quico says: Check out the opposition's fascist destabilization plan's instruction manual...damn coup-mongers.
November 30, 2006
Hot Audit Details
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Quico says: Clearly, a large part of the opposition is still seriously concerned that the government will commit numerical fraud. Unlike in ...
Podcast: Rosales as Bartlett
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Quico says: Well, here's the seriously disturbing audio of part of that Rosales town hall meeting. Rosales is, um, not a natural spea...
The provocation begins...
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Quico says: To understand the next few days, you need to understand one key fact: it's in the government's interest to bait the op...
Primer on Sunday's election...
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Quico says: Well, as usual, my hit-count is going berserk as Sunday's election draws near. Hello new people! Caracas Chronicles has be...
Final Survey Chart
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Quico says: Well, here's the final survey slide, with the latest Evans McDonough poll added: Click to enlarge As you can see, I've ...
November 29, 2006
Manuel Rosales, up close and personal
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Katy says: Last night, Globovisión held a town-hall meeting with opposition candidate Manuel Rosales. It was an interesting broadcast since...
Poll Wars Chronicles
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Quico says: Check out this impressive overview of the Poll Wars by Phil Gunson in the Miami Herald. Polls offer vastly different predictio...
Election tree update
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Quico says: Actually, there are eight logical possibilities: Care to hazard a guess how this will go? Which scenario do you think is most l...
Puzzling through the Dec. 4th Scenarios
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Quico says: The way I see it, the history of the next few years depends on what happens on Dec. 4th. Basically, there are 4 ways this could...
Scenario No. 2: Rosales goes AMLO
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Katy says: I'm going to follow up on Quico's post and work through the second of the four scenarios: the possibility that opposition...
November 28, 2006
Compare and Contrast: Blue Venezuela vs. Red Venezuela
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Quico says: Yesterday I posted on the underlying issue at stake in this election: a tricolor Venezuela, or a monochrome red one? Two differ...
Amarillita, Azulita y Rojita...
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Quico says: If you ask me, the best part of Rosales' campaign was the way he set up the contrast between his "Tricolor Avalanche...
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