December 1, 2007
Consultores 21's Final Word
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Katy & Quico say: Funny how there always seems to be "just one more poll". Consultores 21 carried out 1500 in-home interviews...
What's your guess?
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Quico says: It's an election tradition at Caracas Chronicles by now. How do you think this vote will go? Put it in writing below. Your...
Things you never ever imagined you'd live to see chronicles...
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Quico says: ...it's a screenshot from the next dimension, this:
What if voting fever breaks out in NiNi Village?
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Quico says: It's a scenario that scares us slightly. We haven't really dared to consider it, even. Maybe we think we'll jinx it...
Working through the scenarios III: the scent of sweet papaya
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Katy says: The government’s campaign to approve the Constitutional reforms is over, and what an ugly spectacle it has been. Today’s rally w...
November 30, 2007
One more...
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***CORRECTED VERSION*** Quico says: Did I say Consultores 21 was the last poll of the season? I lied. Hinterlaces has just put out one last ...
Turnout as NiNi psychodrama
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Quico says: First, the bare fact, which is now verging on cliché: Sunday's referendum will hinge on turnout. Both the detailed polls tha...
But seriously, folks...
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Quico says: Though it's arguably not so timely (serious policy analysis feels slightly out of place in the heady pre-election atmosphere...
November 29, 2007
The prodigal poll
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Quico says: The final poll of the season is out, and it's a doosy. Consultores 21 polled 2000 voters, nationwide, in their homes, betwee...
This again...
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Quico says: Well, despite my best intentions, the "fraud or no fraud" debate seems to have burst through with renewed vigor on th...
November 28, 2007
Working Through the Scenarios II: A Fraudulent Sí
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Quico says: Here's a sphincter-clenching question for you: what's the worst thing that could happen after Sunday's Constitution...
Walk on through to the other side
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Katy says: After a fourteen hour debate (!!), the radical opposition umbrella group Comando Nacional de la Resistencia has just abandoned i...
Fosforito chronicles
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Lucia says: Reporters Without Borders give their take on Venezuela's deepening media crisis . They review review Iris Varela's melt...
Cubanization? What cubanization?
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November 27, 2007
Datanalisis Details
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Quico says: It's not surprising that the Datanalisis poll from Nov 14-20th is getting the most play in the international media. With a b...
Time for Some Poll Charts
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Quico says: By popular request, here's the Constitutional Reform Referendum poll chart. (It's a bit hard to read like this, but you...
November 26, 2007
Working through the scenarios: a Sí victory
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Katy says: Over the next few days, Caracas Chronicles is going to try to put the upcoming referendum in context. Ideally, this would be a ...
The difference a week makes
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Quico says: Just a week ago, Chávez's victory on the constitutional reform referendum was being portrayed as inevitable by foreign jou...
November 24, 2007
Two heuristics that swing elections
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Quico says: Political scientists have a dirty little secret. It's not really polite to say it in mixed company, but it's a fact: ca...
November 23, 2007
The times they are a'changin'...
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Quico says: A couple of months ago, my feeling was that if there was any way for the oppo old guard to blow their survey lead ahead of th...
November 21, 2007
Lies and Consequences
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Lucia says: Two quotes in recent wire stories neatly encapsulate the Chávez strategy for December 2nd. The first comes from a 32-year old m...
Also worth a look
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Katy says: My apologies for not posting much recently. Quico has a deadline, Lucia is MIA, and I'm tied up with child-care issues and w...
November 19, 2007
Worth a look
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Quico says: Reporters Without Borders' letter to President Sarkozy on the eve of his meeting with Chávez is here. The Economist's q...
Chávez the Inevitable
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[Quico says: About a year ago, we had a funny little incident in the comments section. Readers accused me of using a Sockpuppet by the name...
November 16, 2007
Abstentionists in their ink
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Katy says: There was an interesting development yesterday in the CNE, one that plays a not-so-minor role in the abstention vs. voting debat...
The Public Sphere is like a Garden
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Quico says: Habermas understands the public sphere as that realm of social life where private individuals come together to discuss public ...
November 15, 2007
Got milk?
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Katy says: We maracuchas have our own little brands that we like to buy and promote. All else things equal, a true zuliano will always choo...
Comments are back...
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Quico says: ...sanity isn't. I've been trying to think of stuff to post recently (no, really, I have) but drawing a string of blank...
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