Quico says: Well, I added two more polls to the Recent Surveys chart; one by Ipsos/AP and a second by Zogby/U. Miami. Again, I leave out surveys by fly-by-night, no-track-record pollsters without a reputation to defend (here's looking at you, CEPS and SurveyFast.)
With the two extra polls in consideration, the statistically meaningless but nevertheless intriguing mash-up average is
Chavez: 54.6%
Rosales: 33.3%
And just to pre-empt the inevitable Fear Factorers - if these results are driven by fear, what makes you think that voters will be less scared of Smartmatic/CNE than they are of Ipsos/AP?