Just discovered the e-lecciones website and spent way too much time surfing through the various powerpoints.
I realize looking at polling powerpoints isn't everyone's idea of a good time...for those of you who go for that sort of thing, though, it's a really fun site...
Some especially revealing slides:
This slide, in particular, is revealing. It's not just Chávez's big surge in the months prior to the recall referendum in 2004, it's also the fact that they decided to pull out of parliamentary elections when they were at a whopping 15% in the polls. Under such conditions, it's not surprising that the high hopes that low turnout would delegitimize the government internationally weren't really met. In this polling context, who could take it seriously?