November 26, 2008

A massive data-trove from Sunday's election

Quico says: Longtime reader Abelardo Mieres has done it again! Over the last few days, Mieres has grabbed CNE's website by the lapels and shaken it virulently until it gave up this massive trove of election data, all in convenient Excel format.

What you get:
  1. Results for Governor by Candidate At the State Level
  2. Results for Governor by Candidate At the Municipal Level
  3. Results for Governor by Candidate At the Parish Level
  4. Results for Governor by Party At the State Level
  5. Results for Governor by Party At the Municipal Level
  6. Results for Governor by Party At the Parish Level
  7. Results for Mayor by Candidate at the Municipal Level
  8. Results for Mayor by Party at the Municipal Level
  9. Results for Metropolitan Mayor of Caracas by Candidate At the Municipal Level
  10. Results for Metropolitan Mayor of Caracas by Party At the Municipal Level
  11. A National Overview of results in Governors' Races + the Race for Municipio Libertador in Caracas
  12. All the associated "Fichas Técnicas" (Registered voters, total votes, valid votes, null votes, turnout, etc.)
Download the whole thing here.

One quick, interesting result from Abelardo's work: a staggering 223 parties nominated at least one person for governor somewhere, but just 10 parties got more than 1% of the nationwide popular vote:

Click to enlarge

The first thing that jumps out at you here is how fragmented party allegiances are in Venezuela. The top 10 parties account for 83.6% of the nationwide votes for governor, meaning that a still significant 16.4% of Venezuelans voted for microparties that got less than 1% of the vote nationally. A staggering 413,000 people voted for one of the 165 nanoparties that each got less than 0.1% of the nationwide vote!!

The second thing that jumps out at you is that AD is still the only opposition party with a genuinely national presence: all the other anti-Chávez parties got results in their home regions only.

And the final, belief beggaring thing, is that the Tupamaros - basically a leftwing paramilitary gang founded to carry out extrajudicial killings of neighborhood thugs in western Caracas - are now one of the main parties in Venezuela, larger than such historical parties as Causa R, MAS, MEP, etc! Crazy stuff...

Looked at in aggregate, the party breakdown looks like this: